Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos 59 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Women's Strawweight
Carla Esparza 41 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 96 | Performance | 87 | B+ |
| A | 95 | Power | 88 | B+ |
|
A-
|
92
|
Offensive |
85
|
B
|
|
A
|
94
|
Defensive |
92
|
A-
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Performance | 16 |
| 6 | Power | 15 |
| 10 | Offensive | 19 |
| 7 | Defensive | 10 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 (69.2%) | Overall | 10-6 (62.5%) |
| 1-2 (33.3%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 3-2 (60%) |
| 6-4 (60%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 8-5 (61.5%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 2-1 (66.7%) |
| 3-2 (60%) | Last 5 Fights | 3-2 (60%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Women's Strawweight #10 Mackenzie Dern (10-5) 2024-02-17 UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria Round 3 U-DEC | Best Win | Women's Strawweight #2 Virna Jandiroba (8-3) 2019-04-27 UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson Round 3 U-DEC |
| Women's Strawweight #19 Jessica Andrade (17-12) 2022-04-23 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Round 1 SUB Arm Triangle | Worst Loss | Women's Strawweight #14 Tecia Pennington (2-1) 2024-10-05 UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Round 3 U-DEC |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 5 (38.5%) | Finishes | 2 (12.5%) |
| 3 (23.1%) | KOs | 1 (6.3%) |
| 2 (15.4%) | Submissions | 1 (6.3%) |
| 4 (30.8%) | Decisions | 8 (50%) |
| 85-64 | Opponent Record | 120-79 |
| 17.8 | Average Opponent Rank | 16.5 |
| W 5 | Long Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-03-08 Women's Strawweight #13 Iasmin Lucindo (4-2) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev |
L 2024-10-05 Women's Strawweight #14 Tecia Pennington (2-1) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. |
|
| L 2024-07-20 Women's Strawweight #2 Virna Jandiroba (8-3) Round 2 SUB Armbar UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
L 2022-11-12 Women's Strawweight #1 Zhang Weili (10-2) Round 2 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira |
|
| W 2024-02-17 Women's Strawweight #10 Mackenzie Dern (10-5) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria |
W 2022-05-07 Women's Strawweight #9 Rose Namajunas (12-6) Round 5 S-DEC UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje |
|
| L 2023-08-19 Women's Strawweight #1 Zhang Weili (10-2) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley |
W 2021-05-22 Women's Strawweight #12 Yan Xiaonan (9-4) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt |
|
| W 2022-11-05 Women's Strawweight #30 Marina Rodriguez (7-6) Round 3 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
W 2020-07-25 Women's Strawweight #30 Marina Rodriguez (7-6) Round 3 S-DEC UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till |